Welcome to NumbCruncher.com

This is an ever evolving site dedicated to the Fantasy Football market. The main goal of this site is to crunch some numbers, introduce new ideas, and add some other innovations to give you everything you could ever want from one site.

Number Crunching Aspects

It all begins with the draft or auction. The player selection process begins with performance projections, rankings & average draft positions based on your league's scoring, and reviewing the owner's trends in previous drafts.

Projections are the key and most important part in getting ready for the upcoming season. They are also the single most difficult task, if you are really trying to gain the edge on your competition. From a statistics standpoint, it isn't good enough to say Player X will rush for 1,300 yards and 9 TDs. Player projections need to be quantified further, since there are significant factors that cannot be predicted or foreseen. Player X has a 80% chance of staying healthy, and will rush for 1,300 yards and 9 TDs. Player X has a 15% chance of having naggin injuries, and will rush for 900 yards and 5 TDs. Player X has a 5% chance of suffering a significant injury, and will rush for 400 yards and 3 TDs. How would Player X's injury affect the other players on his team? A Quarterback missing some games most likely devalues the Wide Receivers value for those games, but the backup Quarterback will get some notice. Factor in how coaching changes and philosophies will impact the players numbers, as well as offseason comings and goings of free agency, trades, and new rookies, projections are impossible. At NumbCruncher.com, a simulator program is being designed to assist with the infinite complexity of applying all of these factors easily. Each time the simulator is run, there will be a different set of stats to analyze. With the multiple stat sets, it should be easier to see an expected range of numbers each player is expected to produce, along with the BOOM and bust potentials in determining super sleepers and guys to avoid.

As you draft, it is essential to look at how other similar leagues drafts have progressed and how the different owners in your league have drafted. Do your fellow owners have the same drafting strategy or do they follow the generic rankings that are available? Knowing who your opponents are going after will greatly assist you in which player you should take and when. If there is typically a run of Tight Ends in the seventh round of your draft, select one in the Sixth round. The player you might have taken off the board in the sixth could still be available in the seventh when everyone else is concentrating on the run of Tight Ends. Instead of having Player X and Tight End 5, your team would have Tight End 1 and Player X. Being able to continuously drafting guys in later rounds than you project will emmensely have a positive effect on your potential for a championship season. As far as auction drafts go, there is a science that needs to be reveiled about the optimal time to nominate players to achieve others spending too much for a player and you getting someone for a bargain.

Ideas

Technology